Burgos vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
GET
4 - 1
BUR
82%
14%
5%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
BUR
22%
29%
49%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 1
UBC
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 1
GET
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 1
GUA
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
CFP
0 - 0
LOG
48%
28%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
CFP
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CFP
1 - 0
RUN
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
RSO
1 - 0
CFP
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CFP
0 - 0
CUL
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |