Bulgaria U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MKD
5 - 1
BGR
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BGR
3 - 1
KAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
3 - 0
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
DNK
3 - 0
RUS
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
RUS
0 - 2
FRA
21%
22%
57%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
RUS
4 - 1
ISL
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SVN
2 - 2
RUS
23%
21%
56%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
HUN
2 - 0
RUS
11%
16%
73%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |