Buchbach vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
WAC
1 - 1
BUC
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 1
AUB
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 3
BUC
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BUC
4 - 0
RAI
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
ILL
0 - 1
BUC
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
3 - 1
VIK
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
NUR
59%
20%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
0 - 3
BAY
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 0
NUR
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
NUR
5 - 1
UNT
38%
24%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |