Buchbach vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AUG
0 - 0
BUC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 1
NUR
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
WAC
1 - 1
BUC
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 1
AUB
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 3
BUC
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
4 - 0
VIK
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 0
HEI
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 3
BAY
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ROS
0 - 2
HEI
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 2
UNT
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |