Brusque vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
LON
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
PPE
3 - 0
BRU
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 1
GOI
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 1
BRU
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CRB
3 - 0
BRU
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
24%
30%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 2
COT
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
AVA
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |