Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
KAA
3 - 0
BRI
12%
17%
71%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 3
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
ULS
6 - 0
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
WPH
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MEL
4 - 1
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
ADE
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 0
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |