Brescia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
BRE
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 3
ABN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 1
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASC
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
CTT
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 1
BAR
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 2
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |