Championship Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Brentford vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
STO
1 - 0
BRE
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
PNE
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
DER
1 - 3
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
REA
1 - 4
SWA
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BRI
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
NTT
2 - 2
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
0 - 1
LEE
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |