Brentford vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
WIG
0 - 3
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 1
HUR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 3
BRE
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
SWA
0 - 3
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 2
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
REA
3 - 0
LUT
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
MIL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
QPR
2 - 2
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
PNE
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 0
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |