Brentford vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
WRE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 2
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
CHA
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
PNE
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
YEO
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 2
HAR
63%
20%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
STE
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEY
1 - 1
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |