Brentford vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 1
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
NTT
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
BRE
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
BBU
0 - 1
BRE
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRE
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
SWA
16%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
3 - 0
BIR
80%
15%
5%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 3
BRI
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |