Bregalnica Štip vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
6º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAK
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCS
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
POB
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
20%
28%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
1 - 0
SHK
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
KFB
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 1
MAK
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |