Brasiliense vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
40%
24%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BSE
1 - 0
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEI
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 3
CEI
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 0
GAM
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 3
BDF
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BDF
1 - 1
BSE
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
LEG
2 - 0
BDF
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |