Brasil U23 vs Estados Unidos U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 3
JPN
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
4 - 1
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estados Unidos U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NED
0 - 0
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
USA
0 - 2
EGY
46%
22%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
USA
1 - 2
COL
45%
23%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
USA
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
5 - 1
USA
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |