Brazil U20s vs Kenya U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.3%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.2%
1.5%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CMR
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 2
PRT
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
SAU
86%
11%
4%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 3
JAP
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 5
GTM
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 4
GHA
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
EGY
7 - 1
KEN
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |