RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
ALT
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 0
MIR
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
BRA
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
56%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
RBB
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
COR
10%
22%
69%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAO
30%
23%
48%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |