Botafogo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAY
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 2
CRZ
44%
24%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 1
FLU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAO
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |