Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 1-0
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 1
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
COR
2 - 2
BOT
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
COT
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 2
SCI
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 2
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATP
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAS
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |