Botafogo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 2
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
COR
1 - 2
BOT
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 0
SPO
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
OPE
2 - 0
BOT
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOT
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1976 |
GRE
1 - 0
SPO
57%
26%
18%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
38%
30%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
GRE
1 - 0
OPE
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GRE
3 - 0
COR
45%
31%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AVA
0 - 3
GRE
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |