Botafogo vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.8%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
OLA
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 3
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
65%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 0
QUI
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 1
FRI
85%
12%
4%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FRI
5 - 0
OLA
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
FRI
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |