Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1974 |
ARN
1 - 0
BOT
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
BOT
2 - 3
SCI
53%
25%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
SET
2 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1974 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLU
50%
29%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLU
53%
27%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
ARN
1 - 0
FLU
45%
29%
26%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1974 |
FLU
2 - 0
PAY
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |