Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 5
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 3
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 2
SCI
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLA
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |