Botafogo vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 1
BOT
15%
23%
63%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 2
MAD
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CRZ
3 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 2
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
AME
1 - 2
FLA
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
BOA
1 - 1
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
JUV
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 2
AME
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
IFC
1 - 1
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |