Botafogo vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
54%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
LUV
0 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAH
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AMF
1 - 1
CEA
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
AMF
25%
29%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
AMF
4 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 1
PAY
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 2
AMF
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |