Botafogo PB vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 1
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
FFL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIR
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
ARN
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 5
RFC
6%
16%
78%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |