Botafogo PB vs Auto Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CSP
2 - 1
BOT
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
AUT
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 3
BOT
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
9 - 2
CRI
81%
13%
7%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AUT
2 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CSP
0 - 3
AUT
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 1
AUT
69%
18%
12%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
AUT
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 0
CRI
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |