Europa League . Semi-finals
Global 4-1
B. Mönchengladbach vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
HER
2 - 1
MON
25%
24%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
44%
23%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 3
MON
48%
22%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
MON
5 - 2
OFC
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
MON
3 - 1
F95
80%
12%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
KOL
3 - 0
EBT
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1975 |
S04
1 - 1
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 3
MON
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
KOL
4 - 0
WUP
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
KOL
4 - 0
HSV
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |