B. Dortmund vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
0 - 3
PAD
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 1
AUG
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 0
SCP
67%
18%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
15%
19%
66%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCU
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
KAI
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
M05
1 - 2
FCU
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 0
M05
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
M05
0 - 0
SCF
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HOF
0 - 2
M05
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |