Borgaro Nobis vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
INV
1 - 1
BOR
81%
12%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOR
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
VAR
8%
19%
73%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
BOR
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
VAR
9%
20%
71%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAS
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
CHI
22%
23%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
BOR
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |