League One Round 1

Bolton Wanderers vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis

Bolton Wanderers Milton Keynes Dons
60 ELO 61
-5.1% Tilt -5.7%
1240º General ELO ranking 3885º
42º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
41.3%
Bolton Wanderers
26.8%
Draw
31.9%
Milton Keynes Dons

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
Milton Keynes Dons
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolton Wanderers
-4%
+33%
Milton Keynes Dons

ELO progression

Bolton Wanderers
Milton Keynes Dons
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2021
CHE
Chester
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
19%
22%
59%
61 47 14 0
31 Jul. 2021
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
24%
24%
53%
61 70 9 0
27 Jul. 2021
CHO
Chorley
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
12%
20%
68%
61 45 16 0
24 Jul. 2021
BAR
Barrow
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
29%
24%
47%
61 55 6 0
20 Jul. 2021
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
24%
24%
52%
60 70 10 +1

Matches

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2021
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
5 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
78%
14%
7%
62 81 19 0
28 Jul. 2021
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 3
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
3%
11%
86%
62 90 28 0
24 Jul. 2021
BRI
Bristol City
3 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
47%
24%
29%
62 65 3 0
13 Jul. 2021
KIN
Kings Lynn Town
1 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
11%
17%
72%
62 38 24 0
09 May. 2021
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 3
Rochdale
ROC
57%
23%
19%
63 56 7 -1