Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
2 - 2
BIR
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
WBA
4 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
SOU
2 - 2
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRI
53%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
FUL
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
DER
0 - 2
COV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 1
DER
57%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1978 |
DER
3 - 0
ARS
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |