Birzebbuga St. Peters FC vs Balzan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 1
BIR
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
MSI
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
MSI
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SGC
2 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BIR
3 - 1
GZI
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
VAL
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 3
NAX
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
QOR
1 - 2
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |