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USL Pro - USA. Temporada Regular, Matchday 12

Birmingham Legion vs Austin Bold analysis

Birmingham Legion Austin Bold
33 ELO 42
35% Tilt 8%
3775º General ELO ranking 1893º
73º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
48.1%
Birmingham Legion
24%
Draw
28%
Austin Bold

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
Birmingham Legion
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28%
Win probability
Austin Bold
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Birmingham Legion
-14%
-18%
Austin Bold

Basic stats

3
1
GF
1
3
GC
33
42
ELO
1.7
1.2
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Birmingham Legion
Their league position
Austin Bold
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
23º
40
28º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Phoenix Rising
68
73
100%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
62
67
81%
El Paso Locomotive
58
63
58%
Louisville City
55
58
50%
Birmingham Legion
55
58
41%
Charlotte Independence
52
56
24%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
52
55
40%
Miami FC
49
53
18%
Colorado Springs Switchback
48
51
10º
19%
San Antonio
10º
48
52
26%
San Diego Loyal
11º
47
51
11º
22%
Memphis 901
12º
44
48
13º
22%
Orange County Blues
13º
43
47
14º
13%
LA Galaxy II
14º
40
43
17º
5%
New Mexico United
15º
40
45
15º
14%
FC Tulsa
16º
40
48
12º
13%
Austin Bold
17º
40
43
18º
21%
Rio Grande Valley
18º
38
43
19º
16%
Hartford Athletic
19º
37
44
16º
6%
OKC Energy
20º
37
38
21º
25%
Charleston Battery
21º
36
38
20º
34%
Tacoma Defiance
22º
34
37
22º
17%
Sacramento Republic
23º
34
36
24º
25%
Indy Eleven
24º
34
36
23º
25%
Atlanta United II
25º
32
33
26º
14%
Oakland Roots
26º
31
36
25º
48%
Sporting Kansas City II
27º
23
25
27º
53%
Real Monarchs
28º
21
24
29º
30%
Las Vegas Lights
29º
21
24
28º
23%
New York RB II
30º
20
23
30º
26%
Loudoun United
31º
15
20
31º
74%
Expected probabilities
Birmingham Legion
Austin Bold
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
44% 0%
Mid-table
56% 100%

ELO progression

Birmingham Legion
BLE
Austin Bold
AUB
Real Monarchs
MON
OKC Energy
OKC
El Paso Locomotive
EPL
Colorado Springs Switchback
COL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birmingham Legion
Birmingham Legion
1%
X%
2%
ELO BLE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jun. 2021
LOU
Louisville City
2 - 0
Birmingham Legion
BLE
53%
25%
22%
497 659 162 -3
13 Jun. 2021
OKC
OKC Energy
1 - 2
Birmingham Legion
BLE
41%
28%
30%
495 408 -87 +2
06 Jun. 2021
BLE
Birmingham Legion
2 - 1
FC Tulsa
TUL
53%
25%
22%
493 302 191 +2
30 May. 2021
AFC
Atlanta United II
0 - 1
Birmingham Legion
BLE
41%
28%
31%
491 343 -148 +2
27 May. 2021
BLE
Birmingham Legion
1 - 0
OKC Energy
OKC
47%
27%
26%
489 409 80 +2

Matches

Austin Bold
Austin Bold
1%
X%
2%
ELO AUB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2021
NMU
New Mexico United
0 - 0
Austin Bold
AUB
47%
27%
26%
859 943 84 0
07 Jun. 2021
PIT
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 - 1
Austin Bold
AUB
33%
27%
39%
857 434 -423 +2
04 Jun. 2021
AUB
Austin Bold
0 - 1
El Paso Locomotive
EPL
53%
25%
22%
860 686 174 -3
07 Oct. 2021
AUB
Austin Bold
1 - 0
Tacoma Defiance
TAC
53%
25%
22%
860 647 213 0
27 May. 2021
AUB
Austin Bold
2 - 0
Real Monarchs
MON
57%
23%
20%
858 408 450 +2