Birmingham City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 3
BIR
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SHW
4 - 1
BIR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
3 - 3
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 2
QPR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
BOU
4 - 1
LEE
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
BOU
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 0
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
BBU
0 - 1
BOU
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |