Binningen vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
12º
9º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 1
BIN
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 1
BUB
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 1
BIN
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 2
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
BIN
80%
12%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
MUT
54%
20%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BUB
3 - 1
LIE
20%
18%
62%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZOF
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 0
MOU
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 3
LIE
24%
19%
57%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |