Billericay Town vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
BIL
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HAY
4 - 2
BIL
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BIL
2 - 1
WHI
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BIL
1 - 4
LOW
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
BIL
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 1
DOV
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOR
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
HOR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 1
LOW
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |