Scottish League Two . Jor. 21

Berwick Rangers vs Montrose analysis

Berwick Rangers Montrose
51 ELO 38
13.4% Tilt 5.2%
5985º General ELO ranking 3171º
62º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
76.7%
Berwick Rangers
14.9%
Draw
8.4%
Montrose

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.4%
Win probability
Montrose
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Berwick Rangers
+4%
+21%
Montrose

ELO progression

Berwick Rangers
Montrose
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
CLY
Clyde
0 - 3
Berwick Rangers
BER
34%
25%
41%
50 45 5 0
03 Jan. 2015
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
72%
17%
12%
50 39 11 0
27 Dec. 2014
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 0
Queen's Park
QUE
54%
23%
23%
50 50 0 0
20 Dec. 2014
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
56%
22%
22%
51 53 2 -1
09 Dec. 2014
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
43%
25%
32%
50 51 1 +1

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
MON
Montrose
0 - 1
East Stirlingshire
THE
51%
22%
26%
38 38 0 0
03 Jan. 2015
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 2
Montrose
MON
78%
15%
7%
38 55 17 0
27 Dec. 2014
MON
Montrose
2 - 3
Elgin City
ELG
49%
23%
29%
39 39 0 -1
20 Dec. 2014
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 0
Montrose
MON
67%
20%
13%
38 51 13 +1
13 Dec. 2014
MON
Montrose
1 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
30%
25%
45%
39 50 11 -1
X