Berwick Rangers vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
BER
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BER
0 - 1
STJ
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BER
2 - 3
ALL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BER
0 - 4
DUM
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
ALL
1 - 2
BER
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ARB
0 - 0
AYR
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BRE
4 - 1
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ARB
0 - 1
STR
32%
26%
41%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
5 - 0
ARB
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |