Chateauroux vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TRO
2 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 3
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
0 - 0
GRE
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
LHA
0 - 0
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 1
CLE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |