Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 2
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
TON
1 - 3
SLB
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 2
GFC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 3
ARO
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VIZ
3 - 2
VIT
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |