Benfica vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.3%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SLB
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
POR
89%
9%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
7%
16%
78%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
1 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
TON
1 - 0
FAM
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
TON
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TON
0 - 0
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 1
TON
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
4 - 3
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |