Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLB
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
RBL
2 - 0
SLB
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARS
5 - 2
SLB
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
REA
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
4 - 1
BEL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |