Benfica vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 1
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 3
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SLB
5 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SLB
6 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
OUD
0 - 6
AND
6%
12%
82%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
AND
1 - 2
PFC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 1
AND
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
AND
1 - 1
GNK
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 1
AND
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |