Belgrano vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 3
BEL
32%
29%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
BEL
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 1
ALB
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 0
BEL
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
BUC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TIG
0 - 2
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
ARG
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |