Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
BEL
1 - 1
RIO
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
FCP
5 - 1
BEL
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPB
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
VIZ
1 - 2
BEL
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1985 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
10%
22%
68%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
SLB
5 - 1
VAR
87%
9%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |