Beijing BSU vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing BSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SDO
0 - 0
BEI
63%
22%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BEI
0 - 2
KUN
7%
18%
75%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZSU
2 - 1
BEI
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BEI
0 - 2
SJF
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JIA
0 - 1
BEI
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ZSU
1 - 2
JIA
56%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
JIA
1 - 3
SDO
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SJF
1 - 1
JIA
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
JIA
0 - 2
KUN
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
JIA
0 - 5
SHA
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |