noscript image

Bundesliga. Matchday 9

Bayern München vs Hoffenheim analysis

Bayern München Hoffenheim
96 ELO 76
32% Tilt 8%
General ELO ranking 106º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
89.2%
Bayern München
7.4%
Draw
3.4%
Hoffenheim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.62
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
+12
<0%
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.4%
Win probability
Hoffenheim
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
+76%
+37%
Hoffenheim

Points and table prediction

Bayern München
Their league position
Hoffenheim
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
16
89
96%
B. Leverkusen
13
73
39%
Wolfsburg
13
52
8%
B. Dortmund
12
77
3%
SC Freiburg
12
50
7%
Mainz 05
10
41
13º
7%
Köln
9
55
6%
Union Berlin
9
44
6%
Hoffenheim
8
53
6%
RB Leipzig
10º
7
63
3%
B. Mönchengladbach
11º
7
43
11º
6%
Hertha BSC
12º
6
43
12º
7%
Stuttgart
13º
5
44
10º
6%
Eintracht Frankfurt
14º
5
37
14º
7%
FC Augsburg
15º
5
21
16º
8%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
4
19
18º
8%
VfL Bochum
17º
4
27
15º
9%
Greuther Fürth
18º
1
19
17º
9%
Expected probabilities
Bayern München
Hoffenheim
Champion
96% 0%
Champions League
3% 24%
Europa League
0% 7%
Europa Conference League
0% 7%
Mid-table
0% 49%
Relegation playoffs
0% 4%
Relegation
0% 8%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
Hoffenheim
HOF
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2021
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
10%
16%
74%
3623 1238 -2385 +1
18 Sep. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
7 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
80%
12%
8%
3621 1490 2131 +2
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3567 3643 76 +57
11 Sep. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
31%
27%
42%
3549 2788 -761 +13
28 Aug. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
82%
12%
6%
3548 2150 1398 +4

Matches

Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
47%
27%
26%
2243 2360 -117 +17
18 Sep. 2021
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 0
Hoffenheim
HOF
34%
27%
39%
2248 1526 -722 -5
11 Sep. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
0 - 2
Mainz 05
M05
55%
25%
20%
2271 2068 203 -22
27 Aug. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 2
Hoffenheim
HOF
71%
17%
11%
2395 3153 758 -5
22 Aug. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
2 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
60%
22%
18%
2399 2034 365 -4