Bayern München vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
5 - 1
MTA
74%
18%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 1
KAI
71%
17%
12%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
RTV
1 - 3
BYM
22%
25%
54%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 0
STU
56%
23%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 0
HAN
71%
18%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
M05
1 - 0
RTV
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HAN
2 - 0
M05
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
M05
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WOL
4 - 3
M05
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
M05
3 - 1
ROS
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |