UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 3-1
BATE Borisov vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 0
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
3 - 1
FKE
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAT
20%
27%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
0 - 0
BAT
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
RAP
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 4
STR
7%
15%
78%
|
81 | 34 | 47 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
ZES
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
KAP
3 - 0
STR
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
ZES
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |