Bastogne vs Longlier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
EBE
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 4
BAS
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
MEI
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VAU
1 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
SMA
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Longlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
LON
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
LAR
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
LIB
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LON
5 - 3
EBE
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
JEU
1 - 2
LON
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |